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Owners.com Reveals Best and Worst Markets for Home Buyers to Get a Deal

December 12, 2017

Chicago, IL tops list of affordable major real estate markets while buyers will spend big on the West Coast

ATLANTA, December 12, 2017 – Owners.com, an innovative technology enabled real estate brokerage, today released its inaugural 2017 Market Recap data study revealing the top 10 buyer and overheated metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs). For buyers seeking less competition and more affordable homes sold below the listing price, Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI came out on top, followed by Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC and Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD. To identify the most overheated markets, Owners.com looked at MSAs where buyers could expect to spend more than one-third of their income on their mortgage. The data showed that Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina, HI; Grants Pass, OR and San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA were the most overheated markets, where homes typically sold faster and for twice as much money than the national average.

 

Owners.com focused on U.S. metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) with more than one million people. The study analyzed a variety of factors within the qualifying MSAs, including home sale price, difference between the listing and sale price, average number of days on market and average listed inventory count.

 

“With reduced inventory and appreciating home prices an issue in much of the country, real estate market conditions are challenging,” said Phil Karp, Senior Manager of Brokerage Services at Owners.com. “Many markets have become overheated, but there are still markets where smart buyers can find more affordable homes. Savvy buyers will realize greater savings if they leverage modern brokerages like Owners.com that provide local expert real estate agents who help them make data-driven purchase decisions.”

 

Top 10 Home Buyer Markets

The study uncovered that within the top 10 buyer markets, home buyers can generally expect to find more affordable options with less competition:

  • The top 10 buyer markets showed an average sales price of $297,794, which was $35,330 below the national average. Homes sold for an average of $16,375 below the listing price.
  • Prices for both buyers and renters remained affordable in these areas as the average monthly rent increased from year to year by $24, only $4 more than the national average.
  • Average loan-to-value is -10% lower than the national average of -6.04%, indicating that properties in these MSAs may have been heading toward foreclosure or short sale, increasing the opportunity to get a good deal.
  • With less buyer competition, homes in these markets took an average of two weeks longer to sell than the national average.

 

 

MSA

Average Sales Price for Single-Family Homes

Average Difference between Sale and Listing Price

Average Number of Days Listing Is on Market

Average Loan to Value Rank

Average Listed Inventory

Average Change in Rent (from Previous Years)

1

Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI

$302,898

-$16,015

 

108

-10.07%

9,683

 

+$38

2

Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC

$255,737

-$11,959

 

 

104

-15.01%

2,703

 

+$11

3

Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD

$272,112

 

-$13,973

115

-9.17%

5,952

+$11

4

Jacksonville, FL

$255,144

-$15,229

102

-12.84%

2,085

+$13

5

Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT

$277,086

-$12,105

116

-13.35%

559

+$7

6

New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA

$459,566

-$26,568

142

-5.84%

10,728

 

+$38

7

Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm, FL

$377,700

-$26,998

115

-6.49%

9,961

+$41

8

San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX

$242,243

-$11,794

93

-9.93%

1,742

+$28

9

Birmingham-Hoover, AL

$202,029

-$13,058

 

107

 

-10.42%

935

+$20

10

Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX

$333,424

-$15,982

98

-7.83%

1,523

+$31

 

Top 10 Overheated Markets

Owners.com also identified what it considers the most overheated markets, where residents are spending more than 33 percent of their household income toward their mortgage payment, and found that:

  • In the top 10 overheated markets, homes sold for $777,665, over twice as much as the average U.S. home price.
  • Homes sold faster (by three days) in these markets than the nation’s average.
  • Listing prices were inflated and were on average $14,114 less than the sale price. 
  • Residents in these markets spent twice as much income toward their mortgage payment as the national average. (National average is 20.8 percent; overheated markets average is 39.1 percent).

 

 

MSA

Average Sales Price for Single-Family Homes

Average Difference between Sale and Listing Price

Average Number of Days Listing Is on Market

Percentage of Household Income Used toward Mortgage Payment

1

Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina, HI

$814,251

 

-$35,015

140

41.3%

2

Grants Pass, OR

$289,328

-$14,524

 

122

33.8%

3

San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA

$1,219,717

 

+$26,539

47

44.1%

 

4

San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, CA

$943,649

+$27,793

62

38.4%

5

Santa Rosa, CA

$658,253

-$11,997

79

36.3%

6

San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles-Arroyo Grande, CA

$615,394

-$28,646

102

36.4%

7

Urban Honolulu, HI

$864,762

-$17,481

93

42.7%

8

Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA

$766,101

-$28,390

100

34.8%

9

Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA

$801,163

-$19,457

87

44.4%

10

Napa, CA

$804,032

-$29,960

96

38.8%

 

Methodology 

Owners.com identified all MSAs with over one million people and retrieved data from October 31, 2016 through October 31, 2017. Owners.com used five metrics to identify and rank the top 10 buyer markets and three metrics for the top 10 overheated markets. These metrics were weighted and summed into a score. The national and market data were sourced from public property data, and aggregated data were sourced from First American and Census Data. The weights for each metric were as follows:

 

The score for the top 10 home buyer markets was comprised of these metrics:

  • Average price difference between sold and listing prices: 30 percent
  • Negative LTV: 25 percent
  • Total inventory left on market: 20 percent
  • Days on market: 15 percent
  • Monthly rental cost change from previous year: 10 percent

The score for the top 10 overheated markets was comprised of these metrics:

  • Percentage of household income used toward mortgage payment: 50 percent
  • Days on market: 30 percent
  • Average price difference between sold and listing prices: 20 percent

About Owners.com®

Owners.com is a tech-enabled real estate brokerage that handles all key aspects of the home buying and selling experience on one platform. It provides a superior experience and savings through right-sized commission structures, smart digital tools and personalized service from local agents. It’s this formula that can save consumers thousands at closing. For more information or to contact a local Owners.com real estate agent, visit Owners.com or follow them on facebook.com/ownerscom and twitter.com/ownersdotcom.

About Altisource®

Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A. (NASDAQ: ASPS) is an integrated service provider and marketplace for the real estate and mortgage industries. Combining operational excellence with a suite of innovative services and technologies, Altisource helps solve the demands of the ever-changing market. Additional information is available at altisource.com.